Causalities among momentum, transparency and media in China

Hung-Wen Lin, Jing-Bo Huang, Kun-Ben Lin
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Abstract

We studied the relationships among momentum, transparency, and media by causality detections in Chinese stock markets. Our results suggest that momentum strongly and individually attracts media coverage in China, as this effect exists both in the Granger test and the transfer entropy test. Media coverage causes momentum only in Granger test, which is consistent with Hillert et al. (2014). In other words, momentum and media coverage are tightly related to each other in China. In the Granger test, transparency causes momentum with the assistance of media coverage, and it receives media coverage with the assistance of momentum. These results suggest that transparency has to release its information because of the pushing power from momentum or media. In the transfer entropy test, transparency can individually cause momentum or media coverage, which implies that transparency indirectly releases information when there is no influence of momentum or media.
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中国的势头、透明度和媒体之间的因果关系
本文通过对中国股票市场的因果关系检验,研究了动量、透明度和媒介三者之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,动量在中国对媒体报道具有很强的吸引力,这种效应在格兰杰检验和传递熵检验中都存在。媒体报道仅在格兰杰检验中产生动量,这与Hillert et al.(2014)的结论一致。换句话说,在中国,势头和媒体报道是紧密相关的。在格兰杰检验中,透明度在媒体报道的帮助下产生动量,在动量的帮助下获得媒体报道。这些结果表明,由于动量或媒体的推动,透明度必须发布其信息。在传递熵检验中,透明度可以单独引起动量或媒体报道,这意味着在没有动量或媒体影响的情况下,透明度是间接释放信息的。
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