NNA and Activation Equation-Based Prediction of New COVID-19 Infections

Faris Ali Jasim Shaban
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Abstract

At 2019, China had a large number of severe cases of pneumonia, particularly in Wuhan. A SARS virus was detected after a thorough realization of sample from the sick people. Due to the form of the virus, which resembled a crown, it was given the name CORONA; the abbreviation COVID-19 stands for 2019 CORONA VIRUS. The World Health Organization WHO classified it as COVID-19, a pandemic, on March, 2020. In this study, artificial neural networks—which function similarly to the network of human neurons—are built to imitate how the human brain functions. Due to this, neural networks were used to connect the diagnosis to the symptoms, where the platform and knowledge-based system were found to be compatible, the symptoms that depend on the diagnosed disease were represented as numerical data, and after the network had been trained, the system was found to be appropriate for the accurate diagnosis of the disease. Our current study includes two primary phases: the training phase of neurons, which includes inputting the training data and generating random weights whose value is less than 1 for each of these inputs, and applying the neural network algorithm to them. The testing phase, where the two inputs were entered without the results to assess how well the proposed system works. Three statistical calculations R, RMSE, MAPE were made in order to evaluate the performance of the existing system and its findings.
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基于NNA和激活方程的新冠肺炎感染预测
2019年,中国出现了大量肺炎重症病例,特别是在武汉。从病人身上彻底取样后,发现了SARS病毒。由于这种病毒的形状类似于皇冠,因此被命名为冠状病毒;缩写COVID-19代表2019冠状病毒。世界卫生组织于2020年3月将其归类为COVID-19大流行。在这项研究中,人工神经网络——其功能类似于人类神经元网络——被构建来模仿人类大脑的功能。因此,使用神经网络将诊断与症状连接起来,发现平台与基于知识的系统是兼容的,将依赖于诊断疾病的症状表示为数值数据,经过网络训练后,发现系统适合于疾病的准确诊断。我们目前的研究包括两个主要阶段:神经元的训练阶段,该阶段包括输入训练数据并为每个输入生成值小于1的随机权值,并对其应用神经网络算法。测试阶段,在没有结果的情况下输入两个输入,以评估所建议的系统的工作效果。通过R、RMSE、MAPE三种统计计算来评价现有系统的性能及其发现。
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