Situational predictive modelling of the flood hazard in the Dniester river valley near the town of Halych

D. Stefanyshyn, V. Korbutiak, Yulija D. Stefanyshyna-Gavryliuk
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

There has been presented a method of situational predictive modelling of the flood hazard in the Dniester River valley near the town of Halych based of hydrological observations data obtained at the Halych water level gauge. Some features in the behaviour of the equation of relationship between levels and water discharges for the Halych water level gauge were revealed, in particularly, regularities fostering reliable forecasting the flood hazard by means of statistical data and ambiguities interfering similar predicting. The possibility of effective situational predicting of the flood hazard according to current data of hydrological observations to minimize probable harm and losses was shown.
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哈利奇镇附近德涅斯特河流域洪水灾害的情景预测模型
本文提出了一种基于哈利奇水位计水文观测数据的哈利奇镇附近德涅斯特河流域洪水灾害情景预测建模方法。揭示了Halych水位计水位与流量关系方程的一些特征,特别是利用统计数据进行洪水灾害可靠预报的规律和干扰类似预报的模糊性。论证了根据现有水文观测资料对洪涝灾害进行情景预测的可能性,以最大限度地减少可能造成的危害和损失。
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