MIGRATION, COVID, REMITTANCES AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE BALTIC STATES: A REGIONAL PERSPECTIVE

M. Přívarová
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Abstract

The Baltic states have faced high emigration flows since joining the EU in 2004. While integrating to the EU, the region has faced many economic and political issues, including migration due to Covid-19 and various economic factors. These issues revealed the weaknesses of their economic policies, financial systems and social security systems. Though, after the EU accession in 2004, the Baltic economies demonstrated rapid economic growth, but the financial and economic crisis has evidently shown their weaknesses. The Baltic states is a crucial example of the regions where the current emigration has drawn the attention of policy makers seeking to reduce the possible negative effects of the emigration of young and skilled workers. We have employed fixed effects and OLS estimation to conduct our research. Our regression analysis has demonstrated that remittances positively and significantly contribute to the economic growth of the Baltics. However, we emphasize the importance of further analysis of the geography of remittances to the region, especially under conditions of Brexit given the high share of remittances which the Baltics were receiving from the United Kingdom during years. The effects of Brexit on remittances flows from the United Kingdom to the Baltics will definitely take place in the future, thus, shifts in emigration flows and remittances should be in focus.
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波罗的海国家的移民、covid、汇款和经济增长:区域视角
自2004年加入欧盟以来,波罗的海国家面临着大量的移民流动。在融入欧盟的过程中,该地区面临着许多经济和政治问题,包括新冠肺炎导致的移民和各种经济因素。这些问题暴露了它们的经济政策、金融制度和社会保障制度的弱点。2004年加入欧盟后,波罗的海各国经济虽然呈现出快速增长的态势,但金融和经济危机也明显地暴露了它们的弱点。波罗的海国家是当前移徙引起决策者注意的一个重要例子,决策者正在设法减少年轻和熟练工人移徙可能产生的负面影响。我们采用固定效应和OLS估计进行研究。我们的回归分析表明,汇款对波罗的海国家的经济增长作出了积极而显著的贡献。然而,我们强调进一步分析该地区汇款的地理位置的重要性,特别是在英国脱欧的情况下,鉴于多年来波罗的海国家从英国收到的汇款比例很高。英国脱欧对从英国到波罗的海国家的汇款流量的影响肯定会在未来发生,因此,移民流量和汇款的变化应该受到关注。
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