The Effects of Election Festivals on Voter Turnout: A Field Experiment Conducted During the 2017 General Election

D. Green, Oliver A. McClellan
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Abstract

During the final days of the 2017 general election, Civic Nation coordinated a series of non-partisan election festivals designed to encourage voter turnout in targeted precincts across the country. Previous experimental research conducted in low-salience elections (Addonizio, Green and Glaser, 2007) and presidential elections (Green and McClellan, 2017) indicates that festivals held at polling sites significantly increase voter turnout. The present study revisits the effectiveness of festivals as an inducement to voting in low- and medium-salience elections. In 2017, 104 precincts were randomly assigned to treatment or control, making the current study larger than previous experiments. Festivals appear to have had a modest positive effect on turnout in 2017; however, this effect was smaller than estimated in previous research. Heavy rains in 85% of the sites as well as limited community outreach prior to Election Day may explain the weaker treatment effects observed in 2017.
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选举节期对选民投票率的影响:2017年大选现场实验
在2017年大选的最后几天,公民国家组织协调了一系列无党派选举节,旨在鼓励全国各地目标选区的选民投票率。先前在低知名度选举(Addonizio, Green and Glaser, 2007)和总统选举(Green and McClellan, 2017)中进行的实验研究表明,在投票站举行的节日活动显著提高了选民投票率。本研究重新审视了节日作为在低和中等显著性选举中投票的诱因的有效性。2017年,104个区域被随机分配到治疗或控制,使当前的研究比以前的实验更大。节日似乎对2017年的投票率产生了适度的积极影响;然而,这种影响比之前的研究估计的要小。85%的地点暴雨,以及选举日之前有限的社区外展,可能是2017年观察到的治疗效果较弱的原因。
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