Stock Prices Fluctuations and Analytical Valuation of Contingent Claims by Stochastic Interacting Systems

Jun Wang, Fang Zhao, C. Wei
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Abstract

In this paper, applying the theory of stochastic processes and interacting particle systems, including stopping time theory and the stochastic voter model, we model a financial price model that contains two types of investors, and we use this financial model to describe the behavior and fluctuations of a stock price process in a stock market. In the financial model, besides the professional investors, we also consider the general investors or nonprofessional investors, where the stopping time and the voter model are applied to model and study the statistical properties of investment of the nonprofessional investors. Further, we discuss the valuation and hedging of European contingent claims for this price process model.
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股票价格波动与随机相互作用系统下或有债权的分析估值
本文运用随机过程理论和相互作用粒子系统理论,包括停止时间理论和随机选民模型,建立了一个包含两类投资者的金融价格模型,并用该模型描述了股票市场中股票价格过程的行为和波动。在财务模型中,除考虑专业投资者外,还考虑了一般投资者或非专业投资者,采用停止时间模型和投票模型对非专业投资者的投资进行建模,研究非专业投资者的投资统计性质。进一步,我们讨论了该价格过程模型下欧洲或有债权的估值和套期保值。
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