Independent Cost Estimates for Design and Construction of Transit Facilities in Rural and Small Urban Areas

S. Anderson, K. Molenaar, C. Schexnayder
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Estimating design and construction costs in a consistent, reliable, and accurate way is critical for an organization since the information generated is the basis for projecting program funds, prioritizing projects by financial analysis, determining required funds, and providing a baseline for project control. This research focused on cost estimating methods and database development for design and construction of rural and small urban area transit facilities, which are usually small, numerous, and geographically dispersed. The objectives of this study were to determine the distinct characteristics of rural and small urban area transit facilities, collect actual historical cost data, and develop a cost estimating database and prototype tool to assist agencies with preparing conceptual estimates. This research included a literature review, telephone interviews, and an online survey. A cost estimating database was constructed based on historical cost data collected through the survey. Analysis of historical cost data was the basis for development of the cost estimating prototype tool. The general conclusions are: 1) project design and construction costs depend on various factors, such as facility types, project size, location, and facility features; 2) many construction projects for rural and small urban area transit facilities were suspended or delayed due to lack of funding; 3) most transit projects in rural and small urban areas include more than one type of facility; 4) state departments of transportation (DOTs) and transit agencies rely on estimates prepared by consultants; 5) both design and construction costs are estimated based on similar projects; 6) risk factors were identified through telephone interviews, and the frequency of the risk factors was obtained from the online survey; and 7) in order to address project risks, contingency is estimated as a percentage of construction cost. The ranges of contingency percentage given by the interviewees and survey results provided a reference for determining the default contingency range for the cost estimating prototype tool.
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农村和小城市地区交通设施设计和建设的独立成本估算
以一致、可靠和准确的方式估算设计和建造成本对组织来说是至关重要的,因为生成的信息是规划规划资金、通过财务分析确定项目优先级、确定所需资金和为项目控制提供基线的基础。本研究的重点是农村和小城市地区交通设施设计和建设的成本估算方法和数据库开发,这些设施通常规模小,数量多,地理上分散。这项研究的目的是确定农村和小城市地区交通设施的独特特征,收集实际的历史成本数据,并开发成本估算数据库和原型工具,以协助各机构编制概念估算。这项研究包括文献综述、电话访谈和在线调查。基于调查收集的历史成本数据,构建了成本估算数据库。对历史成本数据的分析是开发成本估算原型工具的基础。总的结论是:1)项目设计和建设成本取决于各种因素,如设施类型、项目规模、位置和设施特征;2)许多农村和小城市地区交通设施建设项目因资金不足而暂停或推迟;3)大多数农村和小城市地区的交通项目包括一种以上的设施;4)州交通部门(DOTs)和运输机构依赖顾问编制的估算;5)设计和施工费用均按同类工程估算;6)通过电话访谈确定风险因素,通过在线调查获得风险因素出现频率;7)为了解决项目风险,估算了意外费用占工程造价的百分比。受访者给出的偶然性百分比范围和调查结果为成本估算原型工具确定默认偶然性范围提供了参考。
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