Industrialization in South Sumatera

Muhammad Subardin, Rosmiyati Chodijah, Imelda Imelda
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Abstract

— This study uses the Kaldor’s Growth Law model to estimate the effect of the manufacturing industry sector on the South Sumatra economy. The research objective is to find out whether the industrial sector can be an engine of growth at the full employment level. The results showed that the industrial sector can take a share of 34 percent of economic growth. However, if the input factor is also allocated to the agriculture and mining sectors, the role of industry actually decreases to 14.6 percent. The role of manufacturing does not specifically accelerate the pace of economic growth in South Sumatra. This can be seen from the small and insignificant influence of the difference between the growth of manufacturing with agriculture and mining on the economic growth of South Sumatra. This means that the growth of the manufacturing sector is relatively not greater than the growth of the non-manufacturing sector or even a negative difference, which means faster growth of other sectors. The role of the industrial sector in creating employment is in line with the share of the creation of added value in the industrial sector which is also not yet encouraging in terms of the process of structural transformation. The role of the industrial sector in creating employment opportunities can be said to be insignificant.
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南苏门答腊的工业化
-本研究使用卡尔多增长定律模型来估计制造业部门对南苏门答腊经济的影响。研究的目的是找出工业部门是否可以成为一个引擎的增长在充分就业水平。结果显示,工业部门可以占到经济增长的34%。然而,如果投入要素也分配给农业和采矿业,工业的作用实际上下降到14.6%。制造业的作用并没有特别加快南苏门答腊岛经济增长的步伐。这可以从制造业与农业和采矿业的增长之间的差异对南苏门答腊经济增长的影响小而不显著看出。这意味着制造业的增长相对不大于非制造业的增长,甚至是负的差异,这意味着其他部门的增长更快。工业部门在创造就业方面的作用与工业部门在创造附加值方面所占的份额是一致的,就结构改革的进程而言,这一点也尚不令人鼓舞。工业部门在创造就业机会方面的作用可以说是微不足道的。
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