Migration and Regional Unemployment in Italy

Roberto Basile, A. Girardi, M. Mantuano
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

Does interregional migration equilibrate regional labor market performances? We answer this question focusing on regional unemployment dynamics in Italy over the 1995-2006 period, when a strong flow of out-migration from the South to the North occurred. Using System-GMM estimators for spatial dynamic panel data models in the presence of endogenous variables, the empirical analysis documents that past migration flows exert a negative effect on current regional unemployment. By falsifying the common wisdom, our results thus indicate that migration flows are likely to magnify spatial disparities in unemployment rates rather than mitigate them.
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意大利的移民和地区失业
区域间迁移是否平衡了区域劳动力市场的表现?我们回答这个问题的重点是意大利在1995-2006年期间的区域失业动态,当时出现了从南方到北方的大量移民。在存在内生变量的情况下,利用System-GMM模型对空间动态面板数据模型进行估计,实证分析表明,过去的移民流动对当前的区域失业产生了负面影响。通过对这一常识的证伪,我们的研究结果表明,移民流动可能会放大而不是缓解失业率的空间差异。
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