The Effect of Inflation, US Dollar Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and World Oil Prices on Gold Price Fluctuations in Indonesia 2014 – 2019

U. Kalsum, R. Hidayat, Sheila Oktaviani
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, US dollar exchange rates, interest rates, and world oil prices on fluctuations in gold prices in Indonesia in 2014 - 2019. This research is a type of explanatory research with a quantitative approach. The data used are monthly time series data for 2014 - 2019 with a sample of 72 samples. The multiple linear regression model is used as an analysis technique in this study. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously (F test) inflation, USD exchange rates, interest rates, and world oil prices have a significant effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia. Partially (t-test) shows that the USD exchange rate has a significant positive effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia. Inflation and interest rates have a negative and insignificant effect on fluctuations in gold prices in Indonesia. Meanwhile, world oil prices have a positive and insignificant effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia.
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2014 - 2019年通货膨胀、美元汇率、利率和世界石油价格对印度尼西亚黄金价格波动的影响
本研究旨在确定通货膨胀、美元汇率、利率和世界石油价格对2014 - 2019年印度尼西亚黄金价格波动的影响。本研究是一种定量的解释性研究。使用的数据是2014 - 2019年的月度时间序列数据,样本为72个样本。本研究采用多元线性回归模型作为分析方法。本研究的结果表明,通货膨胀、美元汇率、利率和世界石油价格同时(F检验)对印度尼西亚黄金价格波动有显著影响。部分(t检验)表明美元汇率对印尼黄金价格波动有显著的正向影响。通货膨胀和利率对印度尼西亚黄金价格波动的负面影响微不足道。同时,世界石油价格对印尼黄金价格波动的正向影响不显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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