Comparative Analysis of Injuries Models and Methods Assessment in Power Industry with Cause-and-Effect Relationship

O. Loktionov
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Prevention of accidents is one of the key paradigms of occupational safety at work. The main mechanism aimed at minimizing potential hazards is a systematic review and analysis of the causal relationships of occupational injuries. The task of reducing the possible probability of injury and its consequences has a multi-factor structure, since it requires the restoration of the circumstances of the situation, their analysis and lessons learned, and the procedure for predicting industrial injuries depends on the type of mathematical model chosen and the quality of the initial data to be further analyzed. The paper analyzes sequential, complex linear and non-linear models and methods for assessing the cause-and-effect relationships of accidents, identifies key provisions and results. Based on the analysis of the scope, advantages and disadvantages, recommendations for the implementation of methods of predictive analysis of injuries in Russia are formed.
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具有因果关系的电力工业损伤模型与评价方法比较分析
预防事故是工作场所职业安全的关键范例之一。将潜在危害最小化的主要机制是对职业伤害的因果关系进行系统的回顾和分析。减少可能的伤害概率及其后果的任务具有多因素结构,因为它需要恢复当时的情况、分析这些情况和吸取的教训,而预测工伤的程序取决于所选择的数学模型的类型和待进一步分析的初始数据的质量。本文分析了事故因果关系评估的顺序、复杂线性和非线性模型和方法,确定了关键条款和结果。在分析伤害预测分析方法的范围、优缺点的基础上,提出了在俄罗斯实施伤害预测分析方法的建议。
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