Analysis of The Potential Impact of Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership on the ASEAN Member Countries

Makmun Syadullah, Miftahudin, B. Ardiansyah
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Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the potential impacts of the RCEP concept developed in the working group and the potential impact on market expansion. Based on the results achieved in the working group discussions, we used a qualitative approach. We put together a simulation of how the impact on trade and market development has been the goal of the establishment of RCEP. We concluded that the unification of the 16 countries in the RCEP expected to reduce the spaghetti bowl effect caused by a number of free trade agreements followed by a country. However, because RCEP does not eliminate regional free trade agreements that exist, RCEP tend to add to the chain's new spaghetti bowl. In addition, the opening of market access among partner countries in the ASEAN-expected results in increased trade intra-ASEAN partner countries so that the impact on economic growth in the region in general and ASEAN in particular. Keyworld: RCEP, RCA dynamic, competitiveness, trade, export-import
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区域全面经济伙伴关系对东盟成员国的潜在影响分析
本文旨在分析工作组制定的RCEP概念的潜在影响以及对市场拓展的潜在影响。根据工作组讨论取得的结果,我们采用了定性方法。我们对建立RCEP的目标是如何影响贸易和市场发展进行了模拟。我们的结论是,RCEP 16国的统一有望减少一个国家遵循多个自由贸易协定所造成的意大利面碗效应。然而,由于RCEP并没有消除现有的区域自由贸易协定,RCEP往往会给这个链条上的新意面碗添油加醋。此外,东盟伙伴国之间市场准入的开放导致东盟伙伴国之间的贸易增加,从而对整个区域,特别是东盟的经济增长产生影响。关键词:RCEP, RCA动态,竞争力,贸易,进出口
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