The Unemployment-Labor Force Participation Linkage in Iran's Women Labor Market

Iman Cheratian, Saleh Goltabar, Carla Daniela Calá
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Purpose During recent years, the long-run relationship between the unemployment rate (UR) and the labor force participation (LFP) rate has been examined in-depth in developed and developing economies. This paper aims to explore this relationship for Iranian women in 31 provinces from 2005Q2 to 2019Q1. Design/methodology/approach To examine the existence of a long-run relationship between female LFP and UR, the time-series cointegration approach has been used. Furthermore, regarding the low power of the univariate cointegration approach, the authors consider a panel version of the cointegration tests developed by Westerlund. Findings Both time-series cointegration tests and panel cointegration test support the unemployment invariance hypothesis for most Iranian provinces, especially the most religious ones. As it implies an invariance to supply side policies, it seems that reducing legal and cultural barriers could be more relevant to decrease female UR and increase LFP than training programs or R&D policies. The present results also suggest that, for this group of regions, a more centralized policy design could be appropriate, instead of a regional one. Originality/value This study investigates whether the unemployment invariance hypothesis holds for Iran, which has not been analyzed before for the Iranian labor market. Moreover, the study adopts a regional approach, which takes into account the huge regional differences in Iran.
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伊朗妇女劳动力市场的失业-劳动力参与联系
近年来,发达国家和发展中国家的失业率(UR)和劳动力参与率(LFP)之间的长期关系得到了深入的研究。本文旨在探讨2005年第二季度至2019年第一季度31个省份的伊朗妇女的这种关系。设计/方法/方法为了检验女性LFP和UR之间是否存在长期关系,我们使用了时间序列协整方法。此外,关于单变量协整方法的低功率,作者考虑了Westerlund开发的协整检验的面板版本。结果:时间序列协整检验和面板协整检验均支持伊朗大多数省份的失业不变性假设,特别是宗教信仰最强烈的省份。由于这意味着供给侧政策的不变性,减少法律和文化障碍似乎比培训计划或研发政策更能降低女性UR和提高LFP。目前的结果还表明,对于这组区域来说,更集中的政策设计可能是合适的,而不是区域性的。原创性/价值本研究探讨了失业不变性假说是否适用于伊朗,这一假说在伊朗劳动力市场中尚未被分析过。此外,该研究采用了区域方法,考虑到伊朗巨大的区域差异。
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