The Causal Link between Relative Age Effect and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from 17 Million Users Across 49 Years on Taobao

Youwei Wang, Yuxin Chen, Yi Qian
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

We use an extensive panel of 17 million individuals born between 1947 and 1995 from China’s largest online marketplace, Taobao, to study the impact of RAE on the propensity to become an entrepreneur. Using events surrounding the Cultural Revolution and the issuance of the Compulsory Education Law whereby COD policies varied, we conceptualize a natural experiment to identify the RAE effects. The youngest students are 5.4% less likely to become an entrepreneur compared to the oldest within the cohort, translating to approximate 43.7 thousand additional sellers born in September with an estimated USD 1.29 billion in additional annual sales.
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相对年龄效应与创业的因果关系:来自49年1700万淘宝用户的证据
我们对中国最大的在线市场淘宝上1947年至1995年间出生的1700万个人进行了广泛的调查,研究了RAE对创业倾向的影响。利用文化大革命前后的事件和义务教育法的颁布,其中COD政策发生了变化,我们概念化了一个自然实验,以确定RAE的影响。与年龄最大的学生相比,最年轻的学生成为企业家的可能性要低5.4%,这意味着9月份出生的卖家增加了约4.37万,年销售额估计增加了12.9亿美元。
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