The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on the Real Economic Growth in Indonesia

Agam Fitriady, Vivi Silvia, S. Suriani
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Abstract

This study empirically examines and analyzes the impact of several macroeconomic indicators on economic growth, namely the extent to which the variables of poverty, human development index (HDI), foreign direct (FDI) and domestic investments (DMI) affect gross regional domestic product (GRDP) at constant prices in 2010 according to expenditure in Indonesia. By using panel data regression and data sourced from 32 provinces throughout Indonesia, the results show that poverty has a negative but not significant effect, FDI has a positive and significant effect, and HDI has a positive and significant effect. On the other hand, Domestic Investment has a positive but not significant effect on GRDP. In an effort to increase the value of GRDP, HDI, and investment (FDI and HDI) that can reduce poverty, the government, the private sector, and the community play an active role in cooperating in planning and implementing effective and efficient strategic program activities, including maintaining social security stability and politics, sustainable reform in all sectors by encouraging the use of domestic products, empowering elements of society including Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises, facilitating various vocational skills training for productive workers and drafting investment-friendly licensing governance regulations. The development of human resources must accompany economic development to reduce the negative impact of economic growth.
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宏观经济变量对印尼实体经济增长的影响
本研究实证检验和分析了几个宏观经济指标对经济增长的影响,即贫困、人类发展指数(HDI)、外国直接投资(FDI)和国内投资(DMI)等变量对印尼2010年按固定价格计算的区域国内生产总值(GRDP)的影响程度。通过面板数据回归和来自印尼32个省份的数据分析,结果表明贫困具有负向且不显著的影响,FDI具有正向且显著的影响,HDI具有正向且显著的影响。另一方面,国内投资对gdp有正但不显著的影响。为了提高能够减少贫困的gdp、人类发展指数和投资(FDI和人类发展指数)的价值,政府、私营部门和社区在合作规划和实施有效和高效的战略项目活动方面发挥积极作用,包括维护社会安全稳定和政治,通过鼓励使用国内产品在所有部门进行可持续改革,赋予包括微型、中小型企业在内的社会要素权力,促进生产工人的各种职业技能培训,起草有利于投资的许可治理条例。人力资源的开发必须伴随着经济的发展,以减少经济增长带来的负面影响。
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