Opening the Opaque Blank Box

J. Pilet, Maria Jimena Sanhuza, David Talukder, Jérémy Dodeigne, Audrey E. Brennan
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In this article, we propose an in-depth exploration of blank and null ballots in the recent 2018 local elections in Wallonia (Belgium). In the official results, both blank and null ballots are merged together and are classified as invalid votes. After obtaining the authorization to access genuine electoral ballots, we study the votes which were not considered for the composition of local councils in detail. The data‐ set is a representative sample of 13,243 invalidated ballots from 49 Walloon municipalities. We first describe how many of these invalidated ballots are blank and how many are null votes, as well as the nature of the nulled votes (unintended errors or intentionally spoiled ballots). Second, we dig deeper into the differences between ballots that have been intentionally invalidated by voters (blank votes and intentional null votes) and ballots non-intentionally invalidated. Our results show that most of the ballots (two-thirds) are null ballots and that among them, half are * This research project has been conducted with the support of the Belgian FNRS (Fonds national de la recherche scientifique) and of the Walloon Regional Ministry for Local Affairs. We would like to thank in particular Séverine Karko and Julie Juvijns (SPW, DO pouvoirs locaux) for their support in getting access to the ballot papers. ** Jean-Benoit Pilet is professor of political science at Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB). He works on elections, political parties, and democratic reforms. He has recently co-authored Faces on the Ballot. The Personalization of Electoral Systems in Europe (OUP, 2016, with Alan Renwick) and The Politics of Party Leadership (OUP, 2016, with William Cross). Maria Jimena Sanhueza is PhD Researcher in Political Science at Universite Libre de Bruxelles where she is associated to three projects studying Belgian politics. Her research focuses on citizenship, representation and democracy. Before starting her PhD, Maria Jimena worked as assistant researcher for EU HORIZON 2020 projects Pathways to Power and Solidarity in Times on Crisis, and co-authored a few publications on European democracies and representation. David Talukder is PhD candidate at the Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB). He is conducting a thesis on the reform of representative democracy, looking at disadvantaged groups’ evaluation of representative democracy and demands for procedural democratic reforms. His main research interests are related to procedural democratic reforms, participatory democracy and democratic innovations. Jérémy Dodeigne is associate professor in political science at the Université de Namur. His research areas cover the study of political representation in multilevel systems, local politics, comparative politics and mixed methods research designs. His work appears in journals such as Party Politics, American Behavioral Scientist, Local Government Studies, Regional & Federal Studies, Government & Opposition, and Representation. Audrey E. Brennan is completing a joint doctorate in political science at Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB) and Université Laval. Her research interests are political parties, elections, and political participation. Her dissertation studies the effect of leadership change mechanisms on the long-term behaviour of political party members. 182 doi: 10.5553/PLC/258999292019001003003 Politics of the Low Countries 2019 (1) 3 Dit artikel uit Politics of the Low Countries is gepubliceerd door Boom bestuurskunde en is bestemd voor anonieme bezoeker
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在本文中,我们对2018年比利时瓦隆尼亚地方选举中的空白选票和无效选票进行了深入探讨。在正式结果中,空白票和无效票合并在一起,被归类为无效票。在获得查阅真正选举选票的授权后,我们详细研究了没有被考虑作为地方议会组成的选票。该数据集是来自49个瓦隆市的13,243张无效选票的代表性样本。我们首先描述这些无效选票中有多少是空白选票,有多少是无效选票,以及无效选票的性质(意外错误或故意破坏选票)。其次,我们深入研究选民故意使选票无效(空白票和故意无效票)和非故意使选票无效的选票之间的差异。我们的结果显示,大多数选票(三分之二)是无效选票,其中一半是无效选票*本研究项目是在比利时国家科学研究基金会(Fonds national de la recherche scientifique)和瓦隆地区地方事务部的支持下进行的。我们要特别感谢ssamverine Karko和Julie Juvijns (SPW, DO pouvoirs locaux)在获得选票方面的支持。**让-伯努瓦·皮莱,布鲁塞尔自由大学政治学教授。他致力于选举、政党和民主改革。他最近与人合著了《选票上的面孔》一书。《欧洲选举制度的个性化》(OUP, 2016,与艾伦·伦威克合著)和《政党领导的政治学》(OUP, 2016,与威廉·克罗斯合著)。Maria Jimena Sanhueza是布鲁塞尔自由大学政治学博士研究员,参与了三个研究比利时政治的项目。她的研究重点是公民身份、代表权和民主。在攻读博士学位之前,Maria Jimena曾担任欧盟地平线2020项目“通往权力之路”和“危机时刻的团结”的助理研究员,并与人合著了一些关于欧洲民主和代表性的出版物。David Talukder是布鲁塞尔自由大学(ULB)的博士候选人。他正在撰写关于代议制民主改革的论文,研究弱势群体对代议制民主的评价和程序性民主改革的要求。主要研究方向为程序性民主改革、参与式民主和民主创新。贾姆·多迪涅是法国那慕尔大学政治学副教授。主要研究领域包括多层次制度下的政治代表性研究、地方政治研究、比较政治研究和混合方法研究设计。他的作品发表在《政党政治》、《美国行为科学家》、《地方政府研究》、《区域与联邦研究》、《政府与反对派》和《代表》等期刊上。奥黛丽·布伦南(Audrey E. Brennan)正在布鲁塞尔自由大学(ULB)和拉瓦尔大学攻读政治学联合博士学位。她的研究兴趣是政党、选举和政治参与。她的论文研究的是领导层变动机制对党员长期行为的影响。182 doi: 10.5553/PLC/258999292019001003003 Politics of the Low Countries 2019(1) 3数字文章《Politics of the Low Countries》是gepubliceerdoor Boom bestuurskunde en is bestemd voor anonieme bezoeker
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