Forecast Method of Distribution Network Input-Output Benefit Based on Peer Measurement Mode

Cui Wen-ting, Liu Hong, Liu Wei, M. Li, Wu Yuefeng, Luo Tao, Qu Gaoqiang
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Abstract

Considering that a unified measurement of input and output is not realized in the evaluation on the current distribution network planning schemes, which limits the evaluation effects and cannot support the refined investment decisions, a new evaluation and forecast method for input-output benefits of distribution networks is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the peer measurement mode for input-output benefit is built through the analysis of the supporting conditions for output benefits; then, the evaluation indexes which can accurately reflect the input-output relationships are selected to establish the evaluation index system for the input-output benefit; next, the input-output benefit forecast method is proposed based on the quantitative association analysis of the input-output benefit; finally, the effectiveness and practicability of the proposed method are verified through case study.
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基于对等计量模式的配电网投入产出效益预测方法
针对目前配电网规划方案评价中没有实现投入产出的统一度量,限制了评价效果,无法支持精细化的投资决策的问题,提出了一种新的配电网投入产出效益评价与预测方法。首先,通过对产出效益支撑条件的分析,建立了投入产出效益的对等度量模型;然后,选取能准确反映投入产出关系的评价指标,建立投入产出效益评价指标体系;其次,在投入产出效益定量关联分析的基础上,提出了投入产出效益预测方法;最后,通过案例分析验证了该方法的有效性和实用性。
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