Levelized Cost of Storage for Lithium Batteries, Considering Degradation and Residual Value

Jonathan Layedra, Maximiliano Martínez, P. Mercado
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Abstract

This article presents a Levelized Cost of Storage (LCOS) analysis for lithium batteries in different applications. A battery degradation model is incorporated into the analysis, which estimates the reduction in economic income due to the decrease in energy capacity. Another factor considered is the residual value attributed to the batteries, once they have completed their first stage of degradation and can be reused in second life applications. The Present Value of Throughput (PVT) metric is used to estimate the health factor of repurposed batteries and then calculate an attractive and reasonable selling price. All the analysis are made for the year 2020, and based on studies of the evolution of technology costs, the LCOS is projected for the year 2030. The results show that the most significant component of LCOS for all applications is investment, due to the high cost of this type of storage technology. Even for the year 2030, the LCOS is significantly reduced, capital expenditures continue to predominate, while the residual value represents an important role in the economic income at the end of the project life.
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考虑退化和残值的锂电池平准化存储成本
本文介绍了锂电池在不同应用中的平准化存储成本(LCOS)分析。在分析中引入了电池退化模型,该模型估计了由于能量容量下降而导致的经济收入减少。另一个考虑的因素是电池的剩余价值,一旦它们完成了第一阶段的降解,就可以在第二次使用中重复使用。利用产量现值(Present Value of Throughput, PVT)指标估算再利用电池的健康系数,进而计算出具有吸引力且合理的销售价格。所有的分析都是针对2020年进行的,并基于对技术成本演变的研究,预测了2030年的LCOS。结果表明,由于这种存储技术的高成本,LCOS在所有应用中最重要的组成部分是投资。即使到2030年,LCOS也会显著减少,资本支出继续占主导地位,而剩余价值在项目生命周期结束时的经济收入中发挥着重要作用。
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