A Study on the Status and Characteristic of Drone Terror

Sae Rom Lee, Byoung Seok Lee
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Abstract

Recently, drones have been used as a major means of terrorism and interest in drone terrorism has increased through the North Korean drone incident and the war in Ukraine, but empirical research on drone terrorism is lacking. In this regard, this study analyzes current status and characteristics of drone terrorism around the world using GTD data from the START in the United States. From the data collected from 1970 to 2021, only 315 cases of drone terrorism using drones as a means of terrorism were extracted and analyzed. According to the analysis, the number of drone terrorism incidents by year has been increasing since 2018, with the highest level of 131 incidents in 2021. By region, the Middle East and North Africa region is the most concentrated with 291 incidents, and by country, Saudi Arabia is the highest with 148 incidents, followed by Yemen and Iraq. Among drone terrorist organizations, Houthi extremists have attempted the most drone attacks (211), while ISIL has the highest success rate (91.7%). More than 90% of drone attacks utilized explosives. Finally, in terms of targets, ISIL had the highest percentage of attacks against military, civilian, and property targets. Based on this study, we hope that various studies on drone terrorism and active discussions on drone terrorism prevention and response will be conducted.
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无人机恐怖的现状与特点研究
最近,无人机被用作恐怖主义的主要手段,通过北韩无人机事件和乌克兰战争,人们对无人机恐怖主义的关注有所增加,但缺乏对无人机恐怖主义的实证研究。为此,本研究利用美国START的GTD数据,分析了全球无人机恐怖主义的现状和特点。从1970年到2021年收集的数据中,仅提取并分析了315起使用无人机作为恐怖主义手段的无人机恐怖事件。分析显示,自2018年以来,无人机恐怖袭击事件逐年增加,最高水平为2021年的131起。从地区来看,中东和北非地区最集中,有291起事件,从国家来看,沙特阿拉伯最高,有148起事件,其次是也门和伊拉克。在无人机恐怖组织中,胡塞极端分子尝试的无人机袭击次数最多(211次),而ISIL的成功率最高(91.7%)。超过90%的无人机袭击使用了炸药。最后,就目标而言,ISIL对军事、平民和财产目标的袭击比例最高。在此基础上,我们希望对无人机恐怖主义进行各种研究,积极探讨无人机恐怖主义的预防和应对。
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