Empirical Study on Ship Investment Behavior Analysis of Liner Shipping Companies

Tae-Il Kim, Sung‐Hwa Park
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Abstract

This study analyzed the ship investment behavior of Korean liners before the bankruptcy of Hanjin Shipping in 2017 by dividing them into investment in new ships and charter ships. In the case of newbuilding investment, the ship investment behavior of global liners was measured in the boom period of 2003-2008 (6 years), the recession period of 2009-2014 (6 years), the recent 2015-2016 (2 years), the low newbuilding priced period, and the high newbuilding priced period. 2006-2007 (2 years) were analyzed. In the case of charter investment, the charter investment behavior of global liner companies for 10 years from 2007 to 2016 was analyzed and compared with major global shipping companies. As a result of the analysis, it was evaluated that Hanjin Shipping and Hyundai Merchant Marine (currently HMM) showed lower performance compared to global liner companies in terms of investment in new shipbuilding and charter ships, as they placed orders during the period of high ship prices and high charter rates, and the proportion of long-term chartered ships was high. This investment behavior affected Hanjin Shipping’s bankruptcy, and it is estimated that it acted as a financial burden on Hyundai Merchant Marine. It is expected that this study will provide useful information in terms of timing and strategy for ship investment by shipping companies in the future, and it is expected that it will have a great potential for use in establishing government policies.
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班轮航运公司船舶投资行为分析实证研究
本研究将韩进海运2017年破产前国内班轮公司的船舶投资行为分为新船投资和租船投资两部分进行了分析。以新造船投资为例,研究了2003-2008年繁荣期(6年)、2009-2014年衰退期(6年)、2015-2016年近期(2年)、新造船低价期和新造船高价期全球班轮的船舶投资行为。分析2006-2007年(2年)。以租船投资为例,分析了2007年至2016年10年间全球班轮公司的租船投资行为,并与全球主要航运公司进行了比较。分析结果显示,韩进海运和现代商船(现现代商船)在船舶价格高、租赁费高的时期订购船舶,而且长期租赁船的比重较高,因此,在新造船和租赁船舶投资方面,与全球班轮公司相比表现较差。这种投资行为不仅对韩进海运的破产产生了影响,而且对现代商船造成了财政负担。预计这项研究将为航运公司今后投资船舶的时机和战略提供有用的信息,并有望在制定政府政策方面发挥巨大的潜力。
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