Data-Driven Scheduling of Electric Boiler with Thermal Storage for Providing Power Balancing Service

Likai Liu, Zechun Hu, Jian Ning, Yilin Wen
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The rapid development of renewable energy has increased the peak to valley difference of the netload, making the netload follwing being a new challenge to the power system. Electric boiler with thermal storage (EBTS) occupies a nonnegligible part of the load in the winter season in Northern China. EBTS operation optimization can not only save its own energy cost but also reduce the peak shaving and valley filling pressure of the system. To this end, the operation optimization of EBTS for providing the power balancing service is studied in this paper, which mainly includes three parts: First, the joint probability distribution between the predicted and actual temperatures is built by utilizing the Copula theory; Secondly, the actual temperatures are sampled based on the predicted temperatures of the next day, and the scenario set is generated by clustering these samples, where K-means clustering method are used; Thirdly, the stochastic operation optimization model of EBTS considering the uncertainty of outdoor temperature is constructed. Through the case study, it is found that the proposed method can save the total operation cost of the EBTS compared with the deterministic EBTS operation optimization model.
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基于数据驱动的蓄热电锅炉动力平衡调度
可再生能源的快速发展加大了电网负荷的峰谷差,使得后续的电网负荷对电力系统提出了新的挑战。蓄热式电锅炉在中国北方地区冬季负荷中占有不可忽视的比重。EBTS运行优化不仅可以节省自身的能源成本,还可以降低系统的调峰和充谷压力。为此,本文对电力均衡服务系统的运行优化进行了研究,主要包括三个部分:首先,利用Copula理论建立了预测温度与实际温度的联合概率分布;其次,根据第二天的预测温度对实际温度进行采样,并对这些样本进行聚类生成场景集,其中使用K-means聚类方法;第三,建立了考虑室外温度不确定性的EBTS随机运行优化模型。通过实例分析发现,与确定性的EBTS运行优化模型相比,该方法可以节省EBTS的总运行成本。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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