Fertility decline in India: a futuristic perspective

P. S. Nair, S. Padmadas
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Fertility projections based on log linear analysis suggest that India will attain replacement level fertility by 2019, given the past trends during 1981-94 continue. About 56 percent reduction in the current fertility levels is required to take India to replacement level fertility. The proximate determinants play an important role in the continuing decline in fertility in both the low and high fertility states. The implications of such an observed fertility decline in terms of population momentum are further discussed.
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印度生育率下降:未来主义视角
基于对数线性分析的生育率预测表明,鉴于1981-94年的过去趋势继续下去,印度将在2019年达到更替水平。要使印度的生育率达到更替水平,需要将目前的生育率降低56%左右。在低生育率和高生育率国家生育率持续下降中,直接决定因素起着重要作用。进一步讨论了这种观察到的生育率下降对人口势头的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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