{"title":"Spatial Dynamics of Land Cover Change in Wae Batu GantungWatershed, Ambon City, Indonesia","authors":"Philia Christi Latue, Heinrich Rakuasa","doi":"10.55927/ijsmr.v1i3.3623","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The development of built-up land over the last 15 years in Ambon City has affected changes in land cover in the Wae Batugantung watershed. This is due to increasing population growth, and the increasing need for residential land. Changes in land cover in the Wae Batu Gantung watershed have an impact on land degradation, water pollution, flooding, and erosion, which will increase in the future. This study aims to analyze land cover changes in the Wae Batu Gantung watershed in 2012, 2017, 2022, and predict land cover in 2027, and 2031. The Cellular Automata Markov Chain method was used in this study to predict the spatial dynamics of land cover change. The results of the study show that from 2012, 2017, 2022, and predictions for 2027, and 2031 residential land, and open land in the Wae Batutangan watershed continue to expand, in contrast to non-agricultural land cover, and agricultural land which is decreasing","PeriodicalId":251111,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Scientific Multidisciplinary Research","volume":"322 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"15","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Scientific Multidisciplinary Research","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.55927/ijsmr.v1i3.3623","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 15
Abstract
The development of built-up land over the last 15 years in Ambon City has affected changes in land cover in the Wae Batugantung watershed. This is due to increasing population growth, and the increasing need for residential land. Changes in land cover in the Wae Batu Gantung watershed have an impact on land degradation, water pollution, flooding, and erosion, which will increase in the future. This study aims to analyze land cover changes in the Wae Batu Gantung watershed in 2012, 2017, 2022, and predict land cover in 2027, and 2031. The Cellular Automata Markov Chain method was used in this study to predict the spatial dynamics of land cover change. The results of the study show that from 2012, 2017, 2022, and predictions for 2027, and 2031 residential land, and open land in the Wae Batutangan watershed continue to expand, in contrast to non-agricultural land cover, and agricultural land which is decreasing
安汶市过去15年来建设用地的发展影响了Wae Batugantung流域土地覆盖的变化。这是由于人口不断增长，对住宅用地的需求不断增加。Wae Batu gantong流域的土地覆盖变化对土地退化、水污染、洪水和侵蚀产生了影响，这些影响将在未来加剧。本研究旨在分析2012年、2017年、2022年Wae Batu gantong流域土地覆盖变化，并预测2027年、2031年的土地覆盖变化。本研究采用元胞自动机马尔可夫链方法预测土地覆盖变化的空间动态。研究结果表明，从2012年、2017年、2022年以及2027年和2031年预测，Wae Batutangan流域的居住用地和开放用地持续扩大，而非农业用地覆盖面积和农业用地覆盖面积则呈减少趋势
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