Impact of Inflation Targeting Policy Framework of Countries between the Period of 2009-2019

A. Rathnayake
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Abstract

Today, many countries in the world tend to choose Inflation Targeting Monetary Policy Framework, in which context it has become a matter of debate whether inflation or economic growth is driven by monetary expansions. The common acceptance is that inflation is created by the continuous rise in the money supply which is strongly proved through the economic theories forwarded by Karl Marx, Irvin Fisher and Friedman. The main aim of the study is to examine the relationship between money supply and economic growth under a broad phenomenon by utilizing the countries with inflation targeting policies in action. The time-series data have been collected from different countries that exercise inflation targeting from 2009 to 2019 and the sample included 39 countries from all over the globe, both from developed and developing categories. The utilized Autoregressive Distribution Lag (ARDL) model forwarded the results suggesting that there is a significant negative relationship between the economic growth and money supply in the long run while no relationship has been observed in the short run.
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2009-2019年各国通胀目标制政策框架的影响
今天,世界上许多国家倾向于选择通货膨胀目标制货币政策框架,在这种背景下,通货膨胀和经济增长究竟是由货币扩张驱动的,已经成为一个争论的问题。人们普遍认为,通货膨胀是由货币供应量的持续增加造成的,卡尔·马克思、欧文·费雪和弗里德曼提出的经济理论有力地证明了这一点。本研究的主要目的是利用实施通货膨胀目标制政策的国家,考察广义现象下货币供给与经济增长之间的关系。时间序列数据是从2009年至2019年实施通胀目标制的不同国家收集的,样本包括全球39个国家,包括发达国家和发展中国家。利用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型转发的结果表明,经济增长与货币供应量在长期内存在显著的负相关关系,而在短期内没有观察到相关关系。
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