Application of multi-criteria assessment in decision-making proces in planning of sustainable development of energy system options

Predrag Škobalj, M. Jovanović, Biljana Vucicevic, Valentina Turanjanin, M. Kijevčanin
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Abstract

Coal combustion power plant Kolubara A has five thermal units with total installed capacity of 270 MW operates as a part of Public Enterprise which has planned to accept and apply the Clean Development Mechanism (new power plants on lignite and natural gas with higher energy efficiency as well as activities related to the rehabilitation and modernization of existing facilities). Two units were put in operation before more than fifty years and in order to extend the lifetime of these blocks in the process of revitalization, in this paper, beside an existing option which considers coal (lignite) combustion, are analysed possible options of thermal power units with gas and renewable energy sources: biomass, renewable solid fuels, waste materials, wind and sun. Paper presents seven energy system options of the thermal unit status which are described with suitable chosen indicators in respect to different aspects of sustainability: economical, ecological, social and resources indicators. In this paper energy indicators are defined as a tool for the sustainability assessment of energy system options. ASPID method of multi-criteria assessment was used to calculate general index of sustainability and obtained ranking of options. This study presented and analysed cases, with predefined constraints when priority has environmental indicator and different conditions where one of sub-indicators have priority, as an example of applying multi-criteria method.
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多准则评价在能源系统方案可持续发展规划决策过程中的应用
燃煤电厂Kolubara有5台热电机组,总装机容量为270兆瓦,作为公共企业的一部分运营,该企业计划接受和应用清洁发展机制(利用褐煤和天然气的新电厂,能源效率更高,以及与现有设施的修复和现代化有关的活动)。两个机组在50多年前投入运行,为了在振兴过程中延长这些区块的使用寿命,在本文中,除了考虑煤(褐煤)燃烧的现有选项外,还分析了燃气和可再生能源(生物质能,可再生固体燃料,废物,风能和太阳能)的火力发电机组的可能选择。本文从经济、生态、社会和资源等不同的可持续性指标出发,提出了热电机组状态的7种能源系统选择,并对其进行了描述。本文将能源指标定义为能源系统可持续性评价的工具。采用多准则评价的ASPID方法,计算可持续性总指标,得到方案排序。本研究提出并分析了一些案例,在优先级具有环境指标的情况下预先定义了约束条件,以及其中一个子指标具有优先级的不同情况,作为应用多准则方法的例子。
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