Examining the impact of rural finance development on farmers’ incomes in business context. Evidence from “The Belt and Road” from key provinces

Lin Qiu-Bin, Esra Sipahi Döngül, Shajara Ul-Durar
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Abstract

Abstract The gradual increase in the world population has a significant impact on businesses, productivity, and financial development in the context of rural life. As the population continues to grow, there is increasing pressure on farming systems to produce more food to meet the growing demand. In addition, the growing population can lead to an increased demand for natural resources such as water, land, and forests. This can create challenges for rural communities that depend on these resources for their livelihoods. In this study, it was determined as a problem that the financial system deepened in regions where the savings base was not large enough and the level of savings was not at the desired level. In this context, since improving the management of the rural labor structure and increasing investments in science and technology can also increase farmers’ incomes, the study aims to deepen rural financial reform and increase the efficiency of the financial system in business management. In the study, the key provinces of “The Belt and Road” (except Chongqing and Tibet) were considered as research objects and 2000-2015 annual panel data were used to analyze the threshold regression model. According to the research findings, when the threshold of financial development efficiency is variable, the growth of farmers’ incomes in general is prevented, when the scale of financial development is variable, the effect on farmers’ incomes gradually changes from negative to positive. In line with these findings, it is recommended to strengthen the quality of education of rural workers and promote the integration of urban and rural areas, increase investments in agricultural science and technology, and improve the service system of agricultural science and technology.
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考察商业背景下农村金融发展对农民收入的影响。来自重点省份的“一带一路”证据
在农村生活的背景下,世界人口的逐渐增加对商业、生产力和金融发展产生了重大影响。随着人口的持续增长,农业系统面临越来越大的压力,需要生产更多的粮食来满足不断增长的需求。此外,不断增长的人口可能导致对水、土地和森林等自然资源的需求增加。这可能给依赖这些资源维持生计的农村社区带来挑战。在本研究中,确定了在储蓄基础不够大、储蓄水平没有达到预期水平的地区,金融体系深化是一个问题。在此背景下,由于改善农村劳动力结构管理和加大科技投入也可以增加农民收入,因此本研究旨在深化农村金融改革,提高金融体系在企业管理中的效率。本研究以“一带一路”重点省份(除重庆和西藏外)为研究对象,采用2000-2015年年度面板数据对阈值回归模型进行分析。研究发现,当金融发展效率阈值变化时,总体上阻碍了农民收入的增长;当金融发展规模变化时,对农民收入的影响逐渐由负向正转变。根据研究结果,建议加强农民工素质教育,促进城乡一体化,加大农业科技投入,完善农业科技服务体系。
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