Do Casinos Contribute to Violent Crime? A Panel Data Analysis of Michigan Counties

Philip Thompson, Gregory A. Falls
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

A key part of the debate over the current rapid increase in the number of casinos in the U.S. concerns the impact on crime rates resulting from the presence of a casino. In this analysis we use panel data covering all 83 Michigan counties for each year 1994-2010 to investigate whether the existence and size of a casino in a host county or in a nearby county affect the rates of four violent crimes: murder, rape, aggravated assault, and arson. We include a number of variables to control for factors that affect crime more generally. We find that county violent crime rates in Michigan do not rise in the presence of a casino, and in the case of aggravated assault, may actually fall. Previous studies of the impact of casinos on a variety of crimes in a variety of locations have shown mixed results.
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赌场会导致暴力犯罪吗?密西根县的面板数据分析
目前,美国赌场数量迅速增加,争论的一个关键部分是赌场的存在对犯罪率的影响。在本分析中,我们使用了1994-2010年每年覆盖密歇根所有83个县的面板数据,以调查主办县或附近县的赌场的存在和规模是否会影响四种暴力犯罪的发生率:谋杀、强奸、严重攻击和纵火。我们包括了一些变量来控制那些更普遍地影响犯罪的因素。我们发现,密歇根州的县暴力犯罪率在赌场存在的情况下不会上升,在严重攻击的情况下,实际上可能会下降。先前关于赌场对不同地点的各种犯罪的影响的研究显示出不同的结果。
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