Optimal Allocation for Complex Systems' Safety

Yan Zhao, Z. Han
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Abstract

To solve the question of guaranteeing the safety of a system with a complex structure and tight couplings, a new method of optimal allocation exploiting the dynamical planning theory is presented. Two key factors that can affect system safety, i.e., accident loss and accident rate are analyzed. Then, to measure comprehensively requirements of system safety, accident safety level is defined based on these two factors. Subsequently, optimal allocation for complex systems’ safety resource is implemented according to the network properties of the inherent structures of the systems and constraint conditions for safe investments. Finally, a case study shows that the method using dynamical planning for optimal allocation of system safety can ensure preferential allocations of the parts with high safety requirements. Besides, this optimal allocation method is feasible and valid.
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复杂系统安全的最优分配
为了解决结构复杂、耦合紧密的系统的安全问题,利用动态规划理论提出了一种新的优化分配方法。分析了影响系统安全的两个关键因素,即事故损失和事故率。然后,为了综合衡量系统的安全要求,在这两个因素的基础上定义了事故安全等级。然后,根据系统固有结构的网络特性和安全投资约束条件,对复杂系统的安全资源进行优化配置。最后,通过实例分析表明,采用动态规划进行系统安全优化分配的方法可以保证对安全要求较高的零件优先分配。该优化分配方法是可行的、有效的。
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