The CIA and the (First) Persian Gulf War

Huw Dylan, David V. Gioe, M. Goodman
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Abstract

Spying on secretive dictatorships is difficult. Saddam Hussein’s Iraq was, in the run up to the first Gulf War, a very hard target. This chapter examines how the CIA tried to overcome this problem. It examines the US’s engagement with Saddam Hussain and Iraq from the 1970s, and considers how the CIA understood Saddam following his rise to power in 1979. It culminates with Desert Storm, and how a mix of technical intelligence collection and analysis changed opinions about the likelihood Iraq invading neighbouring Kuwait. Document: Iraq’s Saddam Husayn: The Next Six Weeks
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中央情报局和(第一次)波斯湾战争
监视秘密的独裁政权是很困难的。在第一次海湾战争爆发前,萨达姆·侯赛因统治下的伊拉克是一个很难对付的目标。本章探讨了CIA是如何克服这个问题的。它考察了美国自上世纪70年代以来与萨达姆·侯赛因和伊拉克的交往,并思考了1979年萨达姆上台后中情局是如何理解他的。它的高潮是《沙漠风暴》,以及技术情报收集和分析如何改变了人们对伊拉克入侵邻国科威特可能性的看法。文件:伊拉克的萨达姆·侯赛因:接下来的六周
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