ANALISA LIMPASAN BERDASARKAN CURAH HUJAN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ARTIFICAL NEURAL NETWORK (ANN) DI SUB DAS BRANTAS HULU

Ery Suhartanto, Evi Nur Cahya, Lu’lu’il Maknun
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Discharge data is usually less available than rainfall data, so it is necessary to find a relationship between river flows that are applied in the period available rainfall data in a watershed area. The purpose of this study is to determine the suitability of the method based on the analysis of data validation between the observed discharge and the model discharge. The method is done by modeling the discharge based on rainfall with the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) MATLAB R2014b program. The Upper Brantas Watershed is used as a case study because it often has runoff problems. Validation of the ANN method was tested with Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Correlation Coefficient (R) and Relative Error (KR). From the results of calibration using the ANN Model, the best data is found in the five years data of epoch 500. Verification results based on the value of R have a relatively good relationship between observation discharges with model discharges. The validation results show the validity in a year data of epoch 500.
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流量数据通常比降雨数据更少,因此有必要在流域内可用的降雨数据中找到河流流量之间的关系。本研究的目的是通过对实测排放量与模型排放量之间的数据验证分析,确定该方法的适用性。该方法采用人工神经网络(ANN) MATLAB R2014b程序对基于降雨的流量进行建模。上布兰塔斯流域被用作案例研究,因为它经常有径流问题。采用均方根误差(RMSE)、纳什-苏特克利夫效率(NSE)、相关系数(R)和相对误差(KR)对ANN方法进行验证。从人工神经网络模型的标定结果来看,500历元的5年数据是最好的。基于R值的验证结果,观测放电与模型放电的关系比较好。验证结果表明,该方法在500历元的一年数据中是有效的。
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