Estimation of the parameters for a complex repairable system with preventive and corrective maintenance

Arwa Nasr, Soufiane Gasmi, M. Sayadi
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引用次数: 27

Abstract

Estimation of reliability and maintainability parameters is essential to modeling repairable systems and determining maintenance policies. However, this estimation becomes more difficult when system failure times are neither identically nor independently distributed. This is due to the aging of repairable systems under imperfect maintenance. In this paper, reliability and maintainability RAM parameters are estimated in the maximum likelihood sense based on historical RAM data and using the virtual age model of Kijima Type I and Type II. A Weibull distribution for the first system failure is assumed. Kijima Type I and II imperfect corrective and preventive maintenance are also considered. Using the maximum-likelihood approach, four parameters of this repairable system are estimated. The proposed method is illustrated with simulated data.
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具有预防性和纠正性维护的复杂可修系统的参数估计
可靠性和可维护性参数的估计对于可修复系统的建模和维护策略的确定至关重要。然而,当系统故障时间既不是相同分布也不是独立分布时,这种估计就变得更加困难。这是由于可修复系统在不完善的维护下老化造成的。本文基于历史RAM数据,采用木岛I型和II型虚拟年龄模型,在最大似然意义上估计了RAM的可靠性和可维护性参数。假设第一次系统故障为威布尔分布。木岛I型和II型不完善的纠正和预防性维护也被考虑在内。利用最大似然法对可修系统的四个参数进行了估计。用仿真数据对该方法进行了验证。
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