Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: The Case Of The Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Marija Galić, Elma Satrovic, Adnan Muslija, Melika Arifhodžić
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Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to explore whether or not fiscal policy can stimulate the economic activity in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. For this purpose, the time-series data are collected in the period 2008-2014. The results suggest that a unit increase in revenue leads to a reduction in the gross domestic product in the long-run. Budgetary expenditures are found to stimulate gross domestic product only in initial period. However, results in the long-run are found to be negligible. Moreover, impulse-response function indicates there are many other determinants of gross domestic product in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina besides budgetary expenditures. Therefore, the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth is just partial. Hence, development policy based on budgetary expenditures will lead to only small increase in economic output.
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本文的目的是探讨财政政策是否可以刺激波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那联邦的经济活动。为此,收集了2008-2014年的时间序列数据。结果表明,从长期来看,单位收入的增加会导致国内生产总值的减少。预算支出只能在初期刺激国内生产总值。然而,从长期来看,结果是可以忽略不计的。此外,脉冲反应函数表明,除了预算支出外,波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那联邦国内生产总值还有许多其他决定因素。因此,财政政策对经济增长的影响只是局部的。因此,以预算支出为基础的发展政策只会导致经济产出的小幅增长。
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