Impact of GDP, Capital and Employment on Waste Generation-The Case of France, Germany and UK Regions

R. Gardiner, P. Hájek
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

An increasing attention is paid to the role of economic growth as well as waste generation due to the harmful environmental and health effects of hazardous waste. It is predominantly argued that economic growth promotes waste and hence worsens already precarious environmental problems. Another experts and scholars contend that the direct link between economic growth and waste emission into economic system-environmental degradation is too simplistic and the causality is indirect, affected by policy and socio-economic context. However, previous related research was limited to the national level, mainly due to the lack of available data. Comparative studies across nations are missing. Therefore, this study aims to overcome this limitation by using regional level data from France, Germany and UK for the years 2000-2013. Using panel cointegration tests, we find that cointegration is present between total waste per capita, GDP per capita, employment rate and gross fixed capital per capita formation. We further investigate both short and long run Granger causal relationships between waste generation and GDP, employment rate likewise gross fixed capital formation. In the short run, there is bidirectional causal relation running from GDP to waste in Germany, whereas bidirectional causality running from GDP and gross capital formation to waste was observed for the UK. For France, causality running only from gross capital formation to waste was found. In the long run, the variables had no impact on waste in France and Germany. Meanwhile, the result provides both unidirectional and bidirectional granger causality running from gross capital formation, GDP and employment to waste in the UK. These differences lead to important policy implications for each of these countries.
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GDP、资本和就业对垃圾产生的影响——以法国、德国和英国地区为例
人们越来越重视经济增长的作用以及由于危险废物对环境和健康的有害影响而产生的废物。人们普遍认为,经济增长助长了浪费,从而使本已岌岌可危的环境问题恶化。另一些专家学者认为,将经济增长与废物排放到经济系统的环境退化之间的直接联系过于简单化,其因果关系是间接的,受政策和社会经济背景的影响。然而,以往的相关研究仅限于国家层面,主要原因是缺乏可用的数据。各国间的比较研究缺失。因此,本研究旨在通过使用法国、德国和英国2000-2013年的区域数据来克服这一局限性。通过面板协整检验,我们发现人均浪费总量、人均GDP、就业率和人均固定资本形成总量之间存在协整关系。我们进一步研究了废物产生与GDP、就业率和固定资本形成总额之间的短期和长期格兰杰因果关系。在短期内,德国存在从GDP到浪费的双向因果关系,而英国则存在从GDP和总资本形成到浪费的双向因果关系。对法国来说,只发现了资本形成总额与浪费之间的因果关系。从长期来看,这些变量对法国和德国的浪费没有影响。同时,该结果提供了单向和双向格兰杰因果关系,从资本形成总额、GDP和就业到英国的浪费。这些差异对每一个国家都产生了重要的政策影响。
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