The US—Russia relations since Trump took office and China’s policy choices

Feng Yujun
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Abstract

Since Donald Trump took office in early 2017, US—Russian relations have not only failed to “unfreeze,” but have deteriorated even further with continued US sanctions against Russia and increasingly bitter “diplomatic wars,” “media wars,” and intensified geopolitical rivalry in the Middle East. The author of this paper proposes that continuous deterioration of US—Russian relations is not only the result of the disparity of power, mutual misalignment, and the sharp decline of mutual trust between the two countries, but also the result of a strong influence of their respective domestic political factors, reflecting that the US—Russian conflict is accelerating the transition from an exogenous to endogenous one. The paper also argues that for a long time to come, “limited rivalry” will become the “new normal” of US—Russian relations. Against the background of profound adjustment and complex change ability of the international situation, China needs to take a more active and proactive lead in the positive interaction between China, the United States and Russia, avoid further escalation of the competition between the major powers, and jointly deal with the increasingly serious global and regional challenges through the trilateral cooperation between Russia, China and the United States.
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特朗普上台以来的美俄关系与中国的政策选择
自2017年初唐纳德·特朗普上台以来,美俄关系不仅没有“解冻”,反而进一步恶化,美国继续对俄罗斯实施制裁,“外交战”、“媒体战”愈演愈烈,中东地缘政治竞争加剧。本文认为,美俄关系的持续恶化不仅是两国实力悬殊、相互错位、互信急剧下降的结果,也是两国各自国内政治因素强烈影响的结果,反映出美俄冲突正在加速由外生冲突向内生冲突转变。文章还认为,在未来很长一段时间内,“有限对抗”将成为美俄关系的“新常态”。在国际形势深刻调整和复杂变化能力的背景下,中国需要更加积极主动地引领中美俄良性互动,避免大国竞争进一步升级,通过中俄美三边合作,共同应对日益严峻的全球和地区挑战。
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