Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth in Ethiopia

Abdillahi Nedif Muse, Saidatulakmal Mohd
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

This article analyses the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on Ethiopia’s economic growth. For this purpose, it uses Vector Autoregressions (VARs) model for the period comprised by years 1981-2017. It finds that FDI had a significant positive impact on Ethiopia’s economic growth for both the short and long-run periods. Adequate human capital and stable macroeconomic envirornment have catalysed the contribution of FDI to economic growth. Gross fixed capital formation and government consumption exerted a negative and significant effects on economic growth during the period of interest. Moreover, the study reveals that there is no causal relationship between FDI and economic development. Ethiopia needs to open up the economy and restructure the financial sector to attract foreign multinational companies (MNC), especially in the manufacturing and agro-industry sectors. Human capital investment should be strength to absorb more foreign direct investment and transform the agricultural-based economy to a modern one. Effective budgeting system and prioritisation of government consumption will support a more rapidly growing economy.
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外国直接投资对埃塞俄比亚经济增长的影响
本文分析了外商直接投资(FDI)对埃塞俄比亚经济增长的影响。为此,它使用向量自回归(var)模型对1981-2017年组成的时期进行分析。研究发现,FDI对埃塞俄比亚短期和长期经济增长都有显著的积极影响。充足的人力资本和稳定的宏观经济环境促进了外国直接投资对经济增长的贡献。利息期固定资本形成总额和政府消费对经济增长有显著的负向影响。此外,研究表明FDI与经济发展之间不存在因果关系。埃塞俄比亚需要开放经济,重组金融部门,以吸引外国跨国公司(MNC),特别是在制造业和农用工业部门。人力资本投资应该成为吸收更多外国直接投资的力量,实现农业经济向现代经济的转变。有效的预算制度和政府消费的优先次序将支持经济更快增长。
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