Drivers and Draggers of Regional Economic Cooperation and Integration in Asia and the Pacific

Srinivasa Madhur
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper examines the major drivers and draggers of regional economic cooperation and integration (RECI) in Asia and the Pacific (AP). Using both quantitative measures and qualitative evidence, it assesses the roles played by four key determinants of RECI across AP, its subregions, and countries: geography and connectivity; national economic policies; governance and rule of law; and institutions and geopolitics. The assessment suggests that East Asia has been fortunate to have been endowed with favorable geography. At the same time, its national economic policies and governance standards (in terms of government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of law, and control of corruption) have been key drivers of its cross-border economic integration, despite its much less democratic political regime. South Asia is almost the obverse image of East Asia – despite a reasonably favorable geography and decades of democratic political regime, its national economic policies and governance standards have been major draggers of cross-border integration. In many ways, Southeast Asia is somewhat closer to East Asia, while the Pacific is somewhat similar to South Asia (except that the Pacific had to content with an unfavorable geography that has been a major dragger of its cross-border integration). Central Asia presents a much more mixed case – it’s land-locked geography as well as somewhat poor governance parameters have acted as draggers on the subregion’s cross-border integration, even as its trade and investment policies have been relatively more open and hence integration-friendly. Political commitment – perhaps the overarching driver of RECI and its institutionalization – is lackluster almost across AP. That said, political commitment seems to be the highest in Southeast Asia and the least in South Asia, with other subregions falling somewhere in the middle of this spectrum.
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亚太区域经济合作与一体化的动力与阻力
本文探讨了亚太区域经济合作与一体化(RECI)的主要驱动力和阻碍因素。利用定量测量和定性证据,该报告评估了亚太地区、次区域和国家的RECI的四个关键决定因素所发挥的作用:地理和连通性;国家经济政策;治国理政、依法治国;制度和地缘政治。这一评价表明,东亚有幸拥有得天独厚的地理条件。与此同时,其国家经济政策和治理标准(在政府效率、监管质量、法治和腐败控制方面)一直是其跨境经济一体化的关键驱动因素,尽管其政治体制不那么民主。南亚几乎是东亚的对立面——尽管地理位置相当有利,而且实行了几十年的民主政体,但其国家经济政策和治理标准一直是跨境一体化的主要阻碍因素。在许多方面,东南亚与东亚更接近,而太平洋与南亚有些相似(除了太平洋不得不满足于不利的地理位置,这一直是其跨境一体化的主要阻碍)。中亚的情况则复杂得多——尽管该地区的贸易和投资政策相对更加开放,因此有利于一体化,但由于地处内陆,加上治理条件欠佳,这些因素阻碍了该次区域的跨境一体化进程。政治承诺——也许是RECI及其制度化的首要驱动因素——几乎在整个AP地区都表现平平。也就是说,政治承诺似乎在东南亚最高,在南亚最低,其他次区域则处于这一范围的中间。
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