Politics by Denunciation

Giovanna M. Invernizzi, A. Ceron
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Judicial investigations into politicians are a fundamental component of politics, with these investigations often leading to public scandals. Yet, empirical evidence of the strategic determinants of judicial investigations is intrinsically hard to gather, a problem that has significantly limited the study of this important phenomenon. This paper studies the politics behind judicial investigations by leveraging new data on prosecutors’ informants in 1125 episodes of misbehavior of Italian MPs involved in different crimes (1983-2019). Results provide evidence in favor of a political use of denunciations for corruption crimes: when a party weakens, the likelihood that political enemies denounce past misbehavior of members of the weakened party increases, suggesting that the political use of denunciation is elastic to changes in the electoral performance. Furthermore, weakened MPs are more likely to be accused of misbehavior that happened a long time before the accusation, which further supports the argument that accusations are politically motivated.
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谴责政治
对政治家的司法调查是政治的一个基本组成部分,这些调查经常导致公共丑闻。然而,司法调查的战略决定因素的经验证据本质上是难以收集的,这一问题严重限制了对这一重要现象的研究。本文利用1983年至2019年1125起涉及不同罪行的意大利国会议员不当行为的检察官举报人的新数据,研究了司法调查背后的政治。研究结果提供了支持对腐败犯罪进行政治谴责的证据:当一个政党被削弱时,政敌谴责被削弱的政党成员过去不当行为的可能性就会增加,这表明政治谴责的使用随着选举表现的变化是有弹性的。此外,被削弱的议员更有可能被指控在指控之前很久就发生了不当行为,这进一步支持了指控是出于政治动机的论点。
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