Discrete Opinion Dynamics with Social Bots on Signed Network

Yun Luo, Chun Cheng, Changbin Yu
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Abstract

Individuals’ opinions are affected by their friends or enemies and the relationship can be abstracted as a signed network. However, the emergence of social bots can bring adverse effect to people on the signed network, like misleading the public opinion. In this paper, in order to study the mechanism by which social bots can influence public opinion, we proposed a opinion dynamics model of signed network to study the how the opinion dynamics evolves based on multi-agent model. Afterwards, we give the condition when the probabilities of individuals’ selection of opinions will converge in this model. At last, we simulated to show the convergence of our model, and study the effect of different number of social bots and confidence level to the public opinion. The results shows with the increase of the number of social bots, the public opinion is lead out of balance more severely, and as the proportion of social bots reaches 20%, the public opinion of human agents are mislead, and the opinion held by social bots will be the final opinion in the human population. For the population of human agents and social bots, 17% social bots is needed to lead the public opinion. The value of self-confidence has no effect on the final opinion in the signed network, but only whether people are affected by others has influence on the final opinion.
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签名网络上社交机器人的离散意见动态
个人的观点会受到朋友或敌人的影响,这种关系可以抽象为一个有签名的网络。然而,社交机器人的出现会给签名网络上的人们带来负面影响,比如误导公众舆论。为了研究社交机器人影响公众舆论的机制,本文提出了一个基于签名网络的舆论动态模型,研究了基于多智能体模型的舆论动态演变过程。然后给出了该模型中个体选择意见的概率收敛的条件。最后通过仿真来展示模型的收敛性,研究不同社交机器人数量和置信度对民意的影响。结果表明,随着社交机器人数量的增加,公众舆论的失衡更加严重,当社交机器人的比例达到20%时,人类代理的公众舆论被误导,社交机器人所持有的意见将成为人类群体中的最终意见。对于人类代理人和社交机器人的人口,需要17%的社交机器人来引导舆论。在签名网络中,自信的价值对最终的意见没有影响,只有人们是否受到他人的影响才对最终的意见有影响。
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