China’S Economic and Trade Development: Imbalance to Equilibrium

Xianguo Yao, Minghai Zhou
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引用次数: 12

Abstract

The rapid pace of China’s economic and trade development has been considered as a great success since the entry of WTO in 2001. Most recently, China has succeeded in coping with the global financial crisis and achieved a rapid V‐shaped recovery which rebounded to two digit growth rate and lead to strengthening its international status. Nevertheless, China has exposed many potential problems in face of the financial crisis which due to international and domestic unbalanced features of China’s economic operation system. The pattern of ‘China Manufacturing and World Consuming’ is a game with no winners, while the investment leaded economic development mode achieves high growth rate but without enriches its own residents. The current imbalanced economic development mode cannot be sustained and shall be changed in the future which is not only the consensus of economists at home and abroad, but also a striving goal for the Chinese government for its ‘12th Five‐Year Plan’. However, China will face great and formidable challenges by changing the economic development mode to achieve an equilibrium state.
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中国经贸发展:从失衡走向平衡
自2001年加入世贸组织以来,中国经济和贸易的快速发展被认为是一个巨大的成功。最近,中国成功地应对了全球金融危机,实现了快速的V型复苏,经济增长率回升到两位数,国际地位不断加强。然而,面对金融危机,中国暴露出许多潜在的问题,这是由于中国经济运行体系的国际和国内不平衡的特点。“中国制造,世界消费”的模式是一场没有赢家的游戏,投资主导的经济发展模式实现了高速增长,却没有让本国居民富裕起来。目前这种不平衡的经济发展方式是不可持续的,未来必须改变,这不仅是国内外经济学家的共识,也是中国政府“十二五”规划的奋斗目标。但是,中国要转变经济发展方式,达到均衡状态,将面临巨大而艰巨的挑战。
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