Obtaining Quarterly Series from the Annual Financial Accounts

G. Bruno
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

One of the main difficulties in building financial accounts is the necessity of reconciling different sources and complying with the aggregation constraints. The Italian financial accounts are available on an annual basis from 1950 to 2004 (see Bonci and Coletta in this volume). Quarterly series are available from 1990 onwards, but not for the earlier years. The paper explores the feasibility of constructing a database including quarterly information. This task is achieved by presenting some examples of temporal disaggregation of financial accounts series taking advantage of methods relying on the choice of available quarterly indicators.The empirical application shows the following results:1) for the household assets examined, the stock market index is the most stable indicator for obtaining quarterly data;2) for corporate liabilities, in addition to the stock market index, the real variables such as investment and GDP are important. Information on a quarterly basis is of interest both for short-term univariate analysis and for use in econometric models.
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从年度财务账目中获取季度系列
建立财务账户的主要困难之一是必须协调不同的来源并遵守汇总约束。从1950年到2004年,意大利的金融账户每年都有(见本卷中的Bonci和Coletta)。从1990年开始有季刊,但早先年份没有季刊。本文探讨了建立季刊信息数据库的可行性。这项任务是通过介绍一些利用依赖于可用季度指标选择的方法对金融账户系列进行时间分类的例子来完成的。实证应用表明:1)对于所检验的家庭资产,股票市场指数是获得季度数据最稳定的指标;2)对于企业负债,除了股票市场指数之外,投资、GDP等真实变量也很重要。以季度为基础的信息对短期单变量分析和计量经济模型的使用都很有意义。
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