VALUATION ANALYSIS OF STOCK VALUE OF PULP & PAPER INDUSTRY COMPANIES USING DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW VALUATION AND RELATIVE VALUATION METHODS FOR DECISION MAKING FOR THE 2015-2019 PERIOD

Johannes Kristian Siregar
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Abstract

This study aims to determine how much the intrinsic value of PT. Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk. (INKP), Tjiwi Kimia Paper Factory Tbk. (TKIM) and Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk. (FASW) listed on the IDX in 2015-2019 where the stock valuation is calculated using the Dividend Discount Model, Free Cashflow to Equity and Price Book Value methods to determine whether the company's stock is undervalued or overvalued, making the right decisions for potential investors based on value. intrinsic value and knowing which method is the most accurate. The sample in this study were three companies that had complete financial statements and distributed dividends during the research year and had the most significant spike in stock prices. Data collection techniques in this study using purposive sampling technique and the data used is secondary data. The conclusion in this study is that in general, INKP and TKIM stocks are undervalued and FASW is in overvalued condition. The most accurate stock valuation method in this study is the Price Earning Ratio because it has the smallest RMSE value.
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2015-2019年期间纸浆造纸行业公司股票价值的估值分析,采用贴现现金流估值和相对估值方法进行决策
本研究的目的是确定多少内在价值PT. Indah Kiat浆纸业有限公司。(INKP), Tjiwi Kimia纸厂Tbk。(TKIM)和Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk。(FASW)于2015-2019年在IDX上市,其中股票估值是使用股息贴现模型,自由现金流股权和价格账面价值方法计算的,以确定公司的股票是否被低估或高估,为潜在投资者做出基于价值的正确决策。内在价值和知道哪种方法是最准确的。本研究的样本是三家公司,这些公司在研究年度有完整的财务报表和分配股息,并且股价上涨幅度最大。本研究的数据收集技术采用有目的抽样技术,所使用的数据均为二手数据。本研究的结论是,总体而言,INKP和TKIM股票处于低估状态,FASW股票处于高估状态。本研究中最准确的股票估值方法是市盈率法,因为它的均方根误差最小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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