Behave Accordingly

Luke A. Patey
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Abstract

Some think that China and Japan are destined for war. Japan’s historical wartime aggression and present-day territorial disputes and military tensions over control of a small grouping of uninhabited islands in the East China Sea, known as Senkaku in Japan and Diaoyu in China, pave the way for a modern-day conflict. Beijing has even weaponized its trade with Japan to drive nationalism at home and try to shape Japan’s foreign and defense policy. Others argue China and Japan’s economic relationship will save Asia from a disastrous conflict. For decades the two economies have fed off one another. Economic interdependence forces Beijing to pull back from hard trade restrictions and consumer boycotts. Yet Xi Jinping’s calls for China to become self-sufficient by building its technological capabilities are a threat to Japan’s modern industries. Beijing’s military aggression and economic competitiveness provokes a response from Japan to build up its military and diversify its trade and investment.
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相应的行为
有些人认为中日注定要开战。日本历史上的战时侵略,以及目前围绕东中国海(East China Sea,中国称东海)一小群无人居住岛屿(日本称尖阁列岛,中国称钓鱼岛)控制权的领土争端和军事紧张局势,为现代冲突铺平了道路。北京甚至将其与日本的贸易武器化,以推动国内的民族主义,并试图影响日本的外交和国防政策。还有人认为,中日两国的经济关系将使亚洲免于灾难性的冲突。几十年来,两国经济相互依赖。经济上的相互依赖迫使北京放弃强硬的贸易限制和消费者抵制。北京的军事侵略和经济竞争力引发了日本的反应,以加强其军事力量,并使其贸易和投资多样化。
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