J. Issler, H. Notini, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura Rodrigues
{"title":"Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the Brazilian economy","authors":"J. Issler, H. Notini, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura Rodrigues","doi":"10.1787/JBCMA-2012-5K4841782XNN","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper has three original contributions. The first is the reconstruction effort of the series of employment and income to allow the creation of a new coincident index for the Brazilian economic activity. The second is the construction of a coincident index of the economic activity for Brazil, and from it, (re)establish a chronology of recessions in the recent past of the Brazilian economy. The coincident index follows the methodology proposed by TCB and it covers the period 1980:1 to 2007:11. The third is the construction and evaluation of many leading indicators of economic activity for Brazil which fills an important gap in the Brazilian Business Cycles literature.","PeriodicalId":313514,"journal":{"name":"Oecd Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2013-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"9","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Oecd Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1787/JBCMA-2012-5K4841782XNN","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Abstract
This paper has three original contributions. The first is the reconstruction effort of the series of employment and income to allow the creation of a new coincident index for the Brazilian economic activity. The second is the construction of a coincident index of the economic activity for Brazil, and from it, (re)establish a chronology of recessions in the recent past of the Brazilian economy. The coincident index follows the methodology proposed by TCB and it covers the period 1980:1 to 2007:11. The third is the construction and evaluation of many leading indicators of economic activity for Brazil which fills an important gap in the Brazilian Business Cycles literature.
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