Evaluation of Operational Effectiveness for TWS Based on Fuzzy Probability

Zhijun Xia, Linzhou Xu, Wentao Fan
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Abstract

The operational effectiveness of torpedo weapon system (TWS) is exhibited in the process of attack-defense movement. According to the uncertainty of situation in using torpedo weapon system, a new dynamic-static evaluation effectiveness method (fuzzy probability) is proposed using fuzzy mathematics and AHP. The math model and arithmetic is presented, and the operational effectiveness of shipboard torpedo is analyzed. The result shows the efficiency of the method in evaluation for operational effectiveness of complex weapon system with fuzzy and uncertain dynamic-countermeasure characteristic.
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基于模糊概率的TWS作战效能评价
鱼雷武器系统的作战效能是在攻击-防御运动过程中体现出来的。针对鱼雷武器系统使用情况的不确定性,运用模糊数学和层次分析法,提出了一种新的动态静态效能评估方法——模糊概率法。提出了数学模型和算法,分析了舰载鱼雷的作战效能。结果表明,该方法对具有模糊和不确定动态对抗特性的复杂武器系统作战效能评估是有效的。
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