The Role of Institutions on the Direction of International Capital Flows

Rüçhan Kamil Altun
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Abstract

This paper studies the effect of different domestic institutions (property rights, corporate governance, and financial efficiency) on the net direction of different international capital flows (FDI and financial capital) in an empirical setting by taking the theoretical framework designed in Ju and Wei (2010) as a basis. Using a panel dataset for 123 countries covering the period 2006-2014 the results confirm the two-way direction of different international capital flows. The strength of property rights protection is found to have a statistically significant negative lagged effect on net FDI leading to a net outflow of FDI at relatively higher levels of property rights protection. Better corporate governance and financial efficiency is found to have a statistically significant positive effect on net financial capital leading to a net inflow of financial capital at relatively higher levels of financial system efficiency. The relationships holds for different specifications of the model although property rights becomes insignificant once the model has been corrected for potential autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity. Furthermore, there is potential reverse causality between institutions and capital flows that needs to be addressed using a proper time-variant instrument.
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制度对国际资本流动方向的作用
本文以Ju and Wei(2010)设计的理论框架为基础,实证研究了不同国内制度(产权、公司治理和金融效率)对不同国际资本流动(FDI和金融资本)净方向的影响。使用涵盖2006-2014年123个国家的面板数据集,结果证实了不同国际资本流动的双向性。研究发现,产权保护力度对净FDI具有统计上显著的负滞后效应,导致在相对较高的产权保护水平下,FDI净流出。研究发现,更好的公司治理和财务效率对净金融资本有统计学上显著的正向影响,导致在相对较高的金融体系效率水平下,金融资本净流入。这种关系适用于模型的不同规格,尽管一旦模型被修正为潜在的自相关和异方差,产权就变得无关紧要。此外,制度和资本流动之间存在潜在的反向因果关系,需要使用适当的时变工具来解决。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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