Role of Workers’ Remittances in Export Performance of Nepal: Gravity Modelling Approach

R. Paudel, T. Bhusal
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Role of workers’ remittance seems to be an imperative part of Nepalese economy for about two decades. The remittances inflow has supported to maintain the foreign reserves at the national level and consumption in household level. This paper investigates the role of remittances in export performance of Nepal employing the gravity modelling approach using annual data for the period of 26 years, from year 1993 to 2018. First, we document the scenario of remittances and export nexus, then conduct an econometric estimation for the exports flows from Nepal to its trading partners. The major finding indicates that the remittances have a statistically significant negative impact on export performance, which is largely impacted by the size of the trading partner’s economy as indicated by the estimation’s results. The study suggests for an urgent attention from policy makers to make the remittance in favor of exports by developing the export strategies. In this regard, a special focus on exporting to the rich economies may be a good way to boost the export performance of Nepal.
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工人汇款在尼泊尔出口绩效中的作用:重力模型方法
近二十年来,工人汇款似乎是尼泊尔经济的重要组成部分。汇款流入有助于维持国家一级的外汇储备和家庭一级的消费。本文采用重力模型方法,利用1993年至2018年26年的年度数据,研究了汇款在尼泊尔出口绩效中的作用。首先,我们记录了汇款和出口关系的情景,然后对尼泊尔对其贸易伙伴的出口流量进行了计量经济学估计。主要发现表明,汇款对出口实绩具有统计上显著的负面影响,而出口实绩在很大程度上受到估计结果所表明的贸易伙伴经济规模的影响。本研究建议政策制定者应尽快注意,透过制定出口策略,使汇款有利于出口。在这方面,特别注重向富裕经济体出口可能是促进尼泊尔出口业绩的好方法。
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