Does Gold Glitter in the Long-Run? Gold as a Hedge and Safe Haven Across Time and Investment Horizon

Don Bredin, T. Conlon, Valerio Potì
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引用次数: 220

Abstract

During times of market turmoil, investors often seek to mitigate the risk associated with traditional investment assets such as equities and debt. The hedging, safe-haven and downside risk reduction properties of gold are examined in this paper for investors with short- and long-run horizons. Utilizing wavelet analysis, we find that gold acts as a short-run hedge for a variety of international equity and debt markets. The safe haven properties of gold during financial crises are further established, with gold shown to act as a safe haven for equity and debt investors across all horizons. Finally, gold is shown to reduce portfolio downside risk in the short-term but may actually contribute to increased long horizon downside risk during recessionary periods.
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黄金会长期发光吗?黄金作为对冲和避险的时间和投资范围
在市场动荡时期,投资者往往寻求降低与股票和债务等传统投资资产相关的风险。本文从短期和长期角度考察了黄金的套期保值、避险和降低下行风险的特性。利用小波分析,我们发现黄金作为各种国际股票和债券市场的短期对冲。在金融危机期间,黄金的避险属性得到了进一步确立,黄金被证明是各个领域股票和债券投资者的避风港。最后,黄金在短期内降低了投资组合的下行风险,但在经济衰退期间,实际上可能会增加长期的下行风险。
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