CRISIS PREVENTION: THE IMPACT OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT, PLANNING AND MARKETING RESEARCH

T. Yegorova-Gudkova
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Abstract

The article is devoted to the justification of the need to take into account the influence of project management, planning and marketing research when developing the theory of crisis based on the theory of systems, the transdisciplinary approach, the law of structural harmony of systems, the logical-structural approach in the management of projects and programs. The quality of management decision-making at all levels of the hierarchy depends on the analysis of the external and internal environment. The tool of analysis is marketing research. An attempt was made to substantiate the hypothesis regarding the need to implement a hierarchical planning system to ensure dynamic development and counter the spread of crisis phenomena and the evolution of the crisis. Each integral complex open system, schematically or enlarged, has three basic components: input - contour of operational closure - output. Operational closeness is a system property that affects the behavior of the system as a result of the interaction of the network of circuit processes, the action of these processes in the circuit forms the emergence of super-properties or the effect of emergence, or the synergistic effect. The property of operational closure that is the most important and interacts with the properties of self-organization and selfharmonization. Together, these three properties ensure the stability of the system and its viability to changes and various kinds of bifurcations for the period between these bifurcations (crisis phenomena) and changes in the state of the system and its transition to a new level. In such periods, there is a need to measure and assess the state of the system, which is practically impossible to do with the help of conventional indicators and indicators. Task of scientific ground of mathematical parameters the contour of economic security and development of model of the planning system which it will be possibly to balance with the requirements of market acquires the special actuality at the terms of the state of singular vertical line of crises. Singularity is instrument of evolution of crisis: system crisis – structural crisis – polycrisis with terrible consequences for socioeconomic, etc. systems of any state. Modern researches in relation to development of effective model of counteraction a crisis, it follows to carry out on the basis of transdisciplinary approach. It’s help to exams the level of general acts of shaping, for example – to self-shaping of cycle, which is perspective direction of development of theory of management of complex systems.
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危机预防:影响项目管理、策划和营销研究
本文以系统理论、跨学科方法、系统结构和谐法则、项目和计划管理的逻辑-结构方法为基础,阐述了在发展危机理论时考虑项目管理、规划和营销研究的影响的必要性。各级管理决策的质量取决于对外部和内部环境的分析。分析的工具是市场调查。会议试图证实下述假设,即需要执行一种分层规划制度,以确保动态发展和防止危机现象的蔓延和危机的演变。每一个完整的复杂开放系统,图解地或放大地,都有三个基本组成部分:输入-操作闭合轮廓-输出。操作紧密性是一种影响系统行为的系统属性,是电路过程网络相互作用的结果,这些过程在电路中的作用形成了超级属性的出现或出现效应,或协同效应。操作闭包的性质是最重要的,它与自组织和自协调的性质相互作用。总之,这三个属性确保了系统的稳定性及其在这些分岔(危机现象)和系统状态的变化及其向新水平的过渡之间的时期内对变化和各种分岔的生存能力。在这种时期,有必要衡量和评估系统的状态,这实际上是不可能借助传统的指标和指标来做到的。数学参数的科学依据、经济安全的轮廓和与市场需求相平衡的计划体系模型的发展在单一危机垂直线的状态下获得了特殊的现实性。奇点是危机演变的工具:系统危机-结构性危机-对任何国家的社会经济等系统产生可怕后果的多重危机。现代有关危机应对有效模式的研究,遵循的是跨学科的研究方法。它有助于考察一般形成行为的层次,如循环的自我形成,这是复杂系统管理理论发展的前景方向。
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