The flow of peoples: international migration as a revolutionary force

J. Chesnais
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

History shows that migration usually moves from areas where population is growing fast to regions where this increase is slower. At present, immigration from poor regions to richer coun tries outstrips emigration from developed countries. A century ago in Europe and now in the poorest countries, migration has relieved tensions bred by declining mortality and accelerating popula tion growth. The map of international migration changes from decade to decade as each country’s demographic transition matures. Although historical migration fl ows still continue, this will not lead to a demographic explosion as fertility rates have declined signifi cantly and aging population increases all over the world. World population is estimated to remain stagnant at around 8 thousand million before it decreases slowly through this century. Thus, migration raises the challenge of a global multiethnic society.
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人口流动:作为革命力量的国际移民
历史表明,移民通常是从人口增长较快的地区向人口增长较慢的地区迁移。目前,从贫穷地区向富裕国家的移民超过了从发达国家的移民。一个世纪前的欧洲和现在最贫穷的国家,移民缓解了因死亡率下降和人口加速增长而产生的紧张局势。随着每个国家人口结构转型的成熟,国际移民地图每十年都在变化。尽管历史上的移民流动仍在继续,但这不会导致人口爆炸,因为全世界的生育率已经显著下降,老龄化人口正在增加。据估计,世界人口在本世纪缓慢减少之前,将保持在80亿左右的停滞状态。因此,移民提出了全球多民族社会的挑战。
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