Tools and Methods of Information Support for the Development of Renewable Energy

R. Mukhamediyev, S. V. Kiseleva, K. Yakunin, R. Mustakayev, Jelena Muhamedijeva
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Abstract

The chapter considers information systems that provide analysis of the RES resource base and support decision making. RES resources in the Republic of Kazakhstan are briefly analyzed. The methods and systems for evaluation of theoretical, technical, and economic potential of renewable energy sources are considered. Based on this overview, the authors propose six steps of estimation that should be realized in intellectual GIS. One of the major steps is the identification the factors that affect using of renewable energy sources. These factors can contribute to impeding the development of green energy. The simple taxonomy of these factors is proposed. The second important step is to aggregate estimations of the factors. As a result, the authors propose the aggregation method based on Bayes rule. Compared to other methods, this approach allows us to obtain two estimates: probabilities of positive and negative hypotheses. The methods discussed are at the heart of the information system supporting the development of renewable energy sources in the Republic of Kazakhstan.
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可再生能源发展的信息支持工具与方法
本章考虑提供可再生能源资源库分析和支持决策的信息系统。简要分析了哈萨克斯坦共和国的可再生能源资源。可再生能源的理论、技术和经济潜力的评估方法和系统被考虑。在此基础上,提出了智能GIS应实现的6个估算步骤。其中一个主要步骤是确定影响可再生能源使用的因素。这些因素可能会阻碍绿色能源的发展。提出了这些因素的简单分类。第二步是汇总对这些因素的估计。因此,作者提出了基于贝叶斯规则的聚合方法。与其他方法相比,这种方法允许我们获得两种估计:正假设和负假设的概率。所讨论的方法是支持哈萨克斯坦共和国发展可再生能源的信息系统的核心。
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